Monday, 3 July 2023

Thoughts on the Vitality Blast and the way forward

When all is done and dusted, with Yorkshire docked the expected points from their T20 season, Derbyshire will have finished 5th in the strong Northern group of the Vitality Blast.

Not a bad effort, though not good enough, of course. I have mentioned a time or two over the last few weeks that the anaemic displays against Northamptonshire at home and Durham away would likely cost us and so it transpired. Had both of those games been won, we would have gone through in fourth place, pipping Nottinghamshire..

We know that the talent is there. Birmingham strolled the group, losing only three games. Two of them were to Derbyshire. Why we can do that, yet implode twice against Nottinghamshire is a mystery. How do you rationalise the performance against Yorkshire at Headingley with the one against the same opponents at Chesterfield? 

It is frustrating, being a Derbyshire fan. When a side is capable of brilliance, which they showed against Birmingham, you might expect a drop just to 'good' on the bad days. Yet the gap between our best and worst is currently too big. 

Perhaps the fixtures didn't help. You can generally afford to lose six matches but still progress. When we produced the poor display against Northamptonshire, on the back of defeats to a strong Lancashire and Nottinghamshire, we had lost three from three, effectively needing eight wins from eleven and adding pressure.

A look at the averages is interesting. The slowest scorers of our top order batters were Haider Ali, at 137 and Luis Reece at 118. The fastest were Leus du Plooy, at 168, followed by Tom Wood at 161, yet the former scored only half of the runs made by Wayne Madsen, while the latter wasn't even in the side, until later in the competition.

He and Harry Came did very well, but played only 13 games between them. Poor team selection was definitely a contributor to our mixed performance. So too were slow starts. A minimum of fifty is really needed from the Powerplay, but too often we didn't get close to that.

The bowlers did pretty well, though only Zaman Khan and Mark Watt conceded less than nine an over through the tournament.  Zaman's value will have increased dramatically and I suspect he will be out of our range next year. 

Part of the issue was that we only had five bowlers. Madsen's bowling days appear behind him, so only Wood's off spin 'darts' were an option outside the five. Alex Hughes was missed, as were genuine all rounders.

For me, that has to be a focus of winter recruitment. Can Anuj Dal become a Hughes, or Steven Mullaney? Can we find a Mitchell Santner of our own, who averaged 36, scoring at 152, as well as bowling his overs at under eight for Worcestershire? 

If Mickey Arthur is to continue to use Pakistan as a source of overseas players, we need all rounders ourselves. Khushdil Shah or Kamran Ghulam would be exciting options, powerful stroke players and canny slow left arm bowlers both. Perhaps Mohammad Wasim Jr, as a quick seam bowling option who can hit a long ball? 

I think you need overseas players to offer more than one dimension, as Ali and Khan did. The former was a qualified success, the latter a total one, but, as a former player said to me today, how many games did either win outright? Both were livewires in the field, but that should be an expectation, not an added bonus.

Haider could be a top player, but too often attempts to go from 0-70 inside a couple of balls. I hope he has learned how to approach an innings from Wayne Madsen, or watches some videos of Dean Jones. The latter was rarely expansive early, but ticked the score over with ones or twos while he came to terms with conditions. THEN put the foot down.

I was surprised that Matt Lamb didn't make the side at all. I thought his impact on Derbyshire might have been the same as Hose had at Worcestershire, but he never appeared in the side after a back spasm ruled him out at the start. Perhaps he comes into the middle order if du Plooy leaves?

The side for next season will be much different, with question marks against most of them. Madsen, Guest, Came, Chappell, Lamb and Dal gives a strong nucleus, but at this stage, who will be alongside them is a moot point. Maybe Wood, who needs to use the Royal London to emphasise his credentials. Maybe one of the spinners, but I would be surprised if we can justify all three being on the staff. Watt appears best-placed, but he will always miss matches on Scotland duty. The others had good days, but it depends on who else is out there as to whether they are retained.

The decline in Luis Reece has been sad to see. His strike rate in 2021 was 171, but it dropped to 132 last year and 118 this season. There was a time when he was crucial to the side, but his bowling appears to not be trusted in this format and his top level batting game is missed. Can he get back to his earlier days?

Much to consider then. Can we finance a staff where several players are effectively single-format only? If not, then the claims of Wood, McKiernan, Thomson and Scrimshaw are not strong. Good players all, but for Derbyshire to be one of the top four in a strong Northern group, is the finance in place to enable better, more versatile players to come in? Can Ben Aitchison and Sam Conners develop their white ball games, as well as remaining injury-free?

Or do we just content ourselves with being a team that will challenge, but often frustrate in equal measure?

Can Mickey Arthur being in players to reinforce his mantra of Derbyshire being the county of choice? His overseas recruitment has to be right, as we have had next to no return on Suranga Lakmal.

As always, I would love to hear your thoughts.

14 comments:

  1. I think reflection it was strong campaign. There is lot positives the 2 long term is Chappell a great addition and Guest is very good number 6 to have in the team. On the day this team was lot stronger than the 2022 team. It was more balanced and having 3 bowlers getting 60 wickets certainly strengthened and weak area last year. Team selection let us down and Arthur needs to take responsibility for that. He has invested heavily in gambling with Haider Ali as opener with Reece. There was no evidence before came that he could do this role and think Ali can reflect that got unfair deal. As international coach should spotted Ali and Reece was wrong by time we got to Northampton home game and minimal change Ali role.

    In terms recruitment for competition Arthur deserves credit. Chappell and Khan strengthen a weak area in past.

    How do we replace the likes of Du plooy, Scrimshaw and Khan next season as can’t see us holding onto them. I would personally go for profile of slow bowler all rounder who could bat at 4. As don’t believe McKiernan will be given contract. He great player on his day but can very easily be targeted. It may been different yesterday if we had a good captain as Du plooy never a captain. We need to sign another bowler overseas and should imagine we have close eyes on PSL for this.

    I hope that soon club media will sit down with Arthur and do full interview. It’s hard see how fully invested he is in Derbyshire and his thinking. He done very few interviews and bare minimum media regarding the club this season.

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  2. Good analysis as ever, Steve.

    Losing those first three games set us back. We picked up form later on in the campaign, but then ran out of steam in the last game.

    Our battling sparkled in a few games, but was lack lustre in others. If you dig into the stats, you discover that du Plooy only scored 54 runs in the first six games and 50 in the last three games, while Ali scored just 12 in his first four games and 18 in his last three. Although Madsen’s form dipped in the last few games before the defeat yesterday, he ended up with a record 580 runs. Wood and Came both made good progress this season, and Guest showed that he can come in at the end of an innings and score runs.

    As you say, Ali was a qualified success. I think, given the way Mickey spoke about him, we all expected to see him batting explosively and sending the ball flying to all parts. Over the fourteen games, he hit 24 fours and 16 sixes. That’s decent, but not outstanding. Madsen, on the other hand, hit 62 fours and 20 sixes.

    Interestingly, though, our stats for boundaries were good. We hit 232 fours and 96 sixes, while Warwickshire, who finished top, hit less, 224 fours and 74 sixes.

    One of our problems was that in too many games we had several of our top six who failed to register decent scores. The game yesterday was a case in point, with Wood, Ali, and du Plooy all going cheaply.

    With our bowling, Khan, who did live up to Mickey’s billing, Chappell and Big George all picked up wickets consistently throughout the campaign, accumulating 71 between them. McKiernan’s 8 wickets cost 356 runs, which is expensive.

    Looking ahead to next season, I can see Dal playing an important role in the team with both bat and ball. He showed in the seconds T20 campaign that he has learned to score quickly and accumulate runs. And there’s no reason why Connors cannot master bowling in the T20.

    If du Plooy does leave, we have a big gap to fill. We’ll still have Madsen, but I’m doubtful that Wood, Came, Lamb, and Reece will produce enough runs over the course of a campaign to win games.

    We definitely need to sign an overseas all-rounder for next season. We need someone who can really bat and take apart attacks.

    There’s still much work for Mickey to do. The team is a work in progress, but I have to say that, so far, there hasn’t been that much progress this season compared to last season. Perhaps our fortunes will change in the Royal London.

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  3. An enjoyable campaign. We probably lack a medium pace bowler for the middle overs, in the mould of a Dal or Hughes. A little bit of inconsistency, we can beat anyone on our day and lose to most. Kris

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  4. For me this was a good campaign. Of course it was hugely disappointing not to qualify but imo having our destiny in our own hands for the last round of matches was a really good achievement. I don’t think I have low expectations or standards, I prefer to think of them as realistic. It shouldn’t be forgotten that before 2019 you had to go back to 2005 to when we last made the quarters.

    Unless a wage cap is introduced or we stumble across some miraculous benefactor we are always going to struggle to finish above the big 4 in our group. I never see us catching up with those test venue counties, but perhaps we could close the gap by either breeding our own constant stream of talent who will at least give us a few years before moving on, or be more proactive in recruiting younger cricketers who are talented enough but impatient for opportunities at the bigger clubs.

    Failing any great change in the status quo, we will only qualify if we improve our consistency. I did question the club whether they felt consistency was something that could be coached and a senior coach was firmly of the opinion that it could. I’m not convinced.

    It is also worth mentioning how enjoyable a T20 visit to the Incora is these days. There is a lovely atmosphere where people of all ages and genders visit in numbers. A few years ago it would only be a healthy attendance if the weather was really good, but now every fixture is well attended.

    Craig

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  5. Indeed Craig, we have a proper T20 fanbase now. Kris

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  6. I agree with Craig about visits to the Incora Ground, which are always positive, apart from the awful music that one has to suffer before the game and whenever anything vaguely positive happens. It is always far too loud and often discordant and invariably means that I leave the ground with a headache! But then, I am just a grumpy old man!

    REV KEITH

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    1. Haha Rev Keith. I take it you don’t oblige the constant request from PA to let them hear you say ‘Wheeeeey Ho’. Craig.

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  7. Definitely need someone who can bat top 6 and be a 6th bowler as overseas next year, if you look at teams round the country (and world) it's hard to think of many who aren't regularly using 6 or 7 bowlers each game, it gives them a flexibility that Derbyshire lack when things go wrong for the attack and to get favourable matchups. Someone like Michael Bracewell who was playing for Worcestershire before injury is the type of player needed. Would also look for a bowler with some batting upside if unable to retain Zaman.

    On specialists I actually have the opposite view, can a club with the resources of Derbyshire attract and afford enough players who are quality in all formats? I think they need to look for value and that will inevitably lead to players who don't necessarily excel in every form of the game with, though they do need to excel in that format if it's the only one they play.

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  8. We need to be on the phone to Brandon McMullen with a multi year contract. Will be able to replace/be competition for Reece and Dal in all formats. But need to do it soon before others do.

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  9. Mixed feelings on the season to be honest . Haider Ali is NOT an opener , Godleman and Reece have been in decline as openers for some time and Masood”s performance last year masked the issues . Look at the data over the last 3 years and we need 2 top 3 batsmen assuming Came comes through and allow Guest time to settle into the middle order .
    The Hundred will take Madsen ,Du Plooy ,Scrimshaw and now Wildcard Chappell .
    The Royal London side looks rather thin as form and injuries currently affecting most of the front line attack of Lakmal ,Aitchison,Conners ,Reece and Potts .I hope the Coach has contingencies in place .
    Rumours surfacing that Pat Brown of Worcestershire is set to join in 2024 but he’s another white ball player .This leaves us ,if the rumours are true with a lot of white ball players Wood ,McKiernan,Brown,Scrimshaw which I’m not sure is ideal for a club of our size and budget.
    With the doubt hanging over Du Plooy”s future tenure there is a lot to sort out for 2024 .Somewhat surprising that the Skipper takes on the role on the last year of his contract ( succession planning ??)
    The only players that seem assured of a 2024 squad place ,based on form or contract are as I see it ..Guest ,Madsen ,Lamb,Dal,Chappell,Aitchison Conners,Potts…..
    Pencils need to be sharpened and clarity required in terms of the plan .

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  10. This feels like a transition period. Prior to 2020, Critchley, Hughes, Palladino, Madsen, Reece, Hosein, and Godleman were regulars in the first team. Critchley, Hughes, Palladino and Hosein have gone, Madsen has probably one more season, and Godleman and Reece look as if they might be heading towards the exit at the end of the season. And, if reports are correct, du Plooy might be moving to pastures new. We might have Watt again for the T20. He's been performing exceptionally well for Scotland in the last few games, and not just with the ball. He's also been scoring runs.
    I agree with Paul Fitz that Madsen, Lamb, Guest, Dal, Chappell, Aitchison, Connors, and Potts seem certain to be offered contracts next season. I'd also add Big George to the list, although whether he would be an all format player is unclear.

    I'd like to see Wood and Came offered contracts. Both have shown promise, with Came scoring a maiden CC century and Wood a maiden T20 century. Much will depend on how they perform for the rest of the season. And the same can be said about Thomson and McKiernan. All are good players, but can they find that extra 10% Mickey has spoken about. Wagstaffe and Harrison haven't had much opportunity, so far, to show what they can do.

    Batting should be our major recruitment area, as this is where we look weakest. We need an overseas batsman and an overseas all-rounder who can bat at 6.

    So, Mickey has a major rebuilding job on his hands.

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  11. I suggest that the two 'big picture' or strategic points are these. First, Derbyshire are a first class county and in order to justify that status we need to aim to be genuinely competitive in all formats. I know it's difficult, but at times it feels as if the 'transition period' has lasted about 25 years. Second, being allowed to recruit two overseas players gives us a real opportunity, but the choices made are absolutely crucial. Look what a difference Masood made last season - other players improved through being in a team playing good cricket. So for the two imports, ideally I'd favour a batsman who can bowl and a wicket-taking bowler who can bat a bit. Above all, though, they need to be capable of winning matches. Given the financial constraints, I imagine we can afford two or three one-format specialists, but can we justify more than that? Tom Wood has not had the best of luck, but the reality is that at the age of 29 his career batting average in first class cricket is 10, so despite his ability to play an occasional explosive knock, it's not easy to see him scoring consistently in the four day game. The two most reliable batters by far, as their career records show, are Madsen and du Plooy, and if possible (and despite some reservations about his captaincy) I'd love to see him continuing with Derbyshire and having a team built around him. If he goes, the rebuilding job will certainly be a bigger challenge but the strategic priorities won't change.

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    1. Wise comments as always, Martin. It is interesting, last year Masood was a run machine for us, but this year for Yorkshire averaged only 18, with a highest score in the T20 of only 36.
      Has he had a bad year, or did he get lucky with the wickets last season?

      Overseas recruitment is crucial. Getting the right ones is a game changer.

      I agree on Wood. He should be the finished article by now and should have been given greater opportunity in his younger days to develop. Only Mickey Arthur knows if it is now too late..

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  12. To much poor bowling , Haidar Ali never a opening Batsman and can never beat Notts Outlaws.

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