Sunday 12 February 2012

Interesting statistics

I watched Clint Mackay bowling the last over against India this morning and it must be one of the most difficult jobs in cricket. Boundaries are brought in on a lot of grounds, batsmen are wielding bats that are increasingly like clubs and most of the crowd want to see the ball disappearing into them with regularity. I'm reminded of the old WG Grace story, when he was given not out from an obvious edge. "They've come to see him bat, not you bowl" said the umpire, far removed from being impartial...

It got me thinking about the respective merits of quick bowlers in T20. Over the course of the winter I think most of us have come to realise that we could do with a genuine "go to" bowler for this year's competition, someone who could bowl two important overs in the opening Powerplay and two more at the death, when all hell is usually breaking loose. I looked at seamers whose names I have mentioned over recent months and who are hired hands around the globe for their ability to bowl a wide range of deliveries. They are widely regarded as the best of the best and demand is accordingly high for their services.

The results make interesting reading. For comparative purposes, I include Charl Langeveldt at the top. He is past his prime now, but has been widely regarded as one of the best in the business (and not just because he played for us, though it helps...) Apologies in advance for the lack of a table...

Name                                 Wickets       Average     Economy Rate
Charl Langeveldt                    118             19.66         7.40
Brett Lee                                  63             31.52         7.25
Shaun Tait                                97             21.58         7.85
Dirk Nannes                           169             20.89         7.14
Dale Steyn                                91             24.00         6.75
Morne Morkel                          62             23.58         7.09
Rusty Theron                            66             21.77         7.07
Fidel Edwards                          34             24.41         7.36
Umar Gul                                112              16.79        7.09
Rana Naved-Ul-Hasan            101              19.18        7.06
Chaminda Vaas                        57              20.12        6.84
Zaheer Khan                            75              28.64        7.72
Abdul Razzaq                          105              21.64        7.51

There are some surprises in there. I thought Brett Lee's average would be lower and that Vaas, Edwards and Khan would have taken more wickets. All of the figures are impressive though, given when these players generally do their bowling and they clearly highlight their talent. Most of them have negligible batting averages, nor the opportunity to bat; the two Pakistan players I mentioned yesterday, Rana and Razzaq, are the only ones with a batting average in excess of twenty, somewhat illustrating my point about their merits.

Sadly, the other thing about this list is that I don't see any of them being available. They are either signed up elsewhere, tied to a central contract or injured. Umar Gul isn't to my knowledge, but has only once been tempted to England, by Sussex last year. 12 wickets at 21 and a strike rate of 8.85 was far from bad, but not up to his overall standard, largely achieved in Pakistan. Theron was set for Northamptonshire at one point, but sustained a bad injury. While a good player, he's maybe not yet up to the standard and reputation of others here.

Who we end up with in 2012 is anyone's guess, but if one of these ever ended up at the County Ground we could consider ourselves extremely lucky.

8 comments:

  1. Peakfan, I could reel off a list of names but have we anyone at the club who can deliver the quality 20/20 signing? Last year they fed us the 'there are no 20/20 players available' slant but surely even Mr Grant can't feed us this one again!
    Ben

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  2. In answer to your questions Ben, in order:
    Yes and No (he won't)
    We can all reel off a list of names, but persuading big names like these to come needs a special skill.
    I remain convinced that Messrs Krikken and Grant will deliver a quality name like those in the article. Can I assume you'll be prepared to eat humble pie if they do? I will, if they don't...

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  3. Peakfan, it won't be humble pie as I want us to sign good players! Like a few of us though I am getting a bit fed up of the excuses for the lack of signings and I am asking can Mr Grant deliver?
    Ben

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  4. Bit like Bob the Builder Ben... yes, he can!

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  5. Praveen Kumar? I mentioned him last year as a possible longer-term signing but the IPL / international schedule prevented it. It looks as if he's available in June / July and is fit now.

    We saw what he could do last year, international T20 economy rate of 7.12 and a capable hitter. With his control and swing, he'd be a challenge for anyone on chilly damp June evenings at Derby.

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  6. A few more interesting bowling stats for both FC and T20:

    -Last year in the championship all of the 5 seamers averaged 30 or less, with Footitt surprisingly topping the table with 15 wickets in 4 matches at an impressive 25.8; as erratic as he may be, he probably deserves a few more chances. With Wainwright as the new spinner, all that Derbyshire needs is a 6th seamer as a cover for injuries, but overall the attack is one of the best in Div2 even as it is right now.

    http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ccdiv2-10/engine/records/averages/batting_bowling_by_team.html?id=6380;team=955;type=tournament


    -About T20, aging players like Brett Lee and Zaheer Khan would most probably be useful only for their brand-value to sell tickets, because I'm not sure at all that that they could perform so better than the current players, expecially in a format where experience is much less valuable than in longer formats. Just to put some more perspective on it, here you go with both last year's and overall T20 stats for D's bowlers:

    http://stats.espncricinfo.com/friends-life-t20/engine/records/averages/batting_bowling_by_team.html?id=6381;team=955;type=tournament

    http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/averages/bowling.html?class=6;current=2;id=955;type=team

    All of this just to say that, in my opinion, if a reasonably priced hard hitter is not available it would be much better to save the money instead of wasting them on some glamorous overseas fast bowler; just play the local lads instead, they're more than up to it.

    Marco

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  7. Think the local lads would respond to a good overseas pro Marco. The right man could be a catalyst to a decent T20 campaign. Good stats though mate, and good comments!

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  8. Kumar? Good player, could do well, but has been injured for a couple of months. Not sure that many would take a chance on Indian players though after their recent tours. Shame, because they have some good ones, but the best get too well paid in IPL to be bothered.

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